Not living in the U.S. puts me at a slight disadvantage in understanding the mobile Internet market out there but my head is going through a number of scenarios today after reading about the possible, but likely, $3.2Bn investment plan to prop-up the WiMax effort in the U.S.
Intel, a silicon manufacturer, a WiMax chipset manufacturer and mobile Internet platform specialist is giving $1bn. Google, an Internet search, advertising and services company, is giving $500m. Comcast, a cable company, is giving over 1 billion dollars. Time Warner, cable company and owner of AOL (AIM, Weblogs inc., ICQ, Winamp, Mapquest etc) is throwing in $500m and Bright House, a triple-play company is putting in $100m. Where? Into a joint venture that brings Sprint and Clearwire together into a new voice and data company valued at around $12bn. [More after the break…]
The existing Sprint WiMax service known as Xohm, has already been delayed but is potentially still ahead of LTE technology, based on existing UMTS standards, which could be another 2 years before it’s available in the U.S. It looks like Xohm, as a brand, could die as the agreement appears to be that the new service will be white-label so that the cable companies can sell under their own brand.
Most commentators that appear on the Techmeme thread today seem fairly negative about it. The Wall Street Journal say "Diverging corporate interests pose another set of challenges. Few big technology collaborations deliver on their founders’ goals." For me, just understanding the desires of the companies involved is a headache. CNet are also worried: "it remains to be seen if this network will ever have the legs it needs to compete against networks built by competitors using a technology with a greater following." LTE has been picked up global support from mobile companies over the last 6 months and that includes AT&T, Verizon and presumable T-Mobile and although it’s behind as a technology, existing 3.5G services are already providing users with download speeds faster than most would ever require. Om Malik also puts forward a note of caution saying that it’s a ‘spaghetti-like mess of conflicts."
I like what the New York Times says though; "The partnership of such fundamentally different companies underscores the convergence of Internet, entertainment and telecommunications services. The wireless network of the future is expected to be fast enough — rivaling speeds that cable customers have in their homes today — to allow delivery not just of text and simple Web pages, but of video and advertising" I agree. This is a new area of intermixed relations between service providers, silicon providers, software providers, content providers, search providers and advertising providers. It a bit much to expect anyone to be able to really understand what’s going on here.
Sitting in the middle of my 7.2mbps HSDPA cell here in Europe I’m finding it very difficult to get excited about WiMax but one thing is for sure, a lot of people are prepared to put a lot of money into ‘mobile Internet’ and that’s a good, good thing.
The appealing thing about WiMax in the United States is not the technology, but the business model Sprint proposed. It’s supposed to be like what you have in Europe with HSDPA. i.e., there is no lock-in. I hope that with this new coalition, they don’t retreat back to a US-style model where they dictate which devices you can use with which company’s networks.
Two questions that I have yet to find an answer for. When, and how much?
Ahem.
Wimax will require sign on. This means that it can be charged out at whatever incremental rate the telcos desire. As opposed to regular wifi…
The reason that most phones in the US don’t have wifi capability is because the telcos can’t charge for that.
AND, anonymity is lost. Some anonymity is a necessary component (nay, a precondition) of a free state.
Hans
Clearwire is already operating WiMax networks in select metropolitan areas. Their pricing is comparable to traditional carriers. I’m tempted to sign up when I move to Raleigh, NC in June to give a good rundown on the WiMAX service.
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Howdy,
I just wanted to say that I have been reading for a while and I would like to sign up for the feed. I’ll give it a try but I might need some assistance. This is a good find and I would hate to lose touch, and maybe never discover it again.
Anyway, thanks again and I look forward to posting again in the future!